Redsminorleagues.com

Saturday, December 16, 2006

Breaking down players hit type rates

First off, I would like to say that Jeff Sackmann of www.minorleaguesplits.com is awesome for what he has done over there.

So I was over on www.projectprospect.com earlier and someone brought up a brought up a question about Cameron Maybin of the Detroit Tigers, and his line drive and fly ball rates being quite low. It is always something I had brought up when attempting to compare prospects and defending Jay Bruce against him.

So I decided to take a look at some Reds prospects line drive/ ground ball/ fly ball/ pop up rates. My theory is, the more line drives you are hitting, the better chance you have to get hits, keep your slugging up, produce more power etc. I think line drive rates are a good thing to look at as far as future production.

Player Ground Ball % Line Drive % Fly Ball % Pop Up %
Jay Bruce 41.9 15.5 36.4 6.1
Joey Votto 39.8 17.7 39.5 3
Javon Moran 56 13.8 24.3 6
Drew Stubbs 54.2 16.2 24.6 5
Chris Valaika 36.8 27.6 32.2 3.2
Paul Janish 47.1 10.5 34.5 7.8
Justin Turner 47.3 21 26.8 4.7
Drew Anderson 41.3 16.1 35 7.4
Chris Dickerson 45.5 11.7 36.7 6
Cody Strait 41.6 14.4 29.3 14.7

The fact that Chris Valaika hit a line drive 27.6 % of the time he hit the ball in play was absolutely mind blowing. Yeah, he was a college player playing in rookie ball, but that is absolutely impressive. Cody Straits pop up % is also pretty out there. He nearly hit twice as many pop ups as anyone else on the list, but still had a strong line drive percentage. Anyways, I just thought it would be something interesting to look at for some of the guys in the system.

Tomorrow, or maybe even later today I think I will break down the same rates for some of our top pitching prospects, starters only.