Redsminorleagues.com

Sunday, December 17, 2006

Pitching prospect hit type rates

Like yesterday, the stuff that Jeff Sackmann does at www.minorleaguesplits.com is amazing and I would like to thank him for what he does.

Today I went through and ran the numbers up for the hit type ratios against some of the Reds top pitching prospects, starters only (with the exception of Watson since we aren't really sure what he will end up being).

Player Ground ball % Line Drive % Fly Ball % Pop Up %
Johnny Cueto 45.2 11.9 33 9.7
Homer Bailey 46.8 14 28.3 10.8
Travis Wood 35.2 12.9 39.9 11.8
Sam Lecure 39.9 14.4 33.4 12.2
Carlos Fisher 57.2 12.3 24.7 5.8
Jordan Smith 52.7 15.2 23.6 8.3
Tyler Pelland 41.5 16.5 33 8.9
Sean Watson 43.8 8.8 34.2 13.1

Looking at the numbers there are some interesting things that jump out. Sean Watson only allowed a line drive 8.8 % of the time. He also had the lowest amount of innings as well, so it could be a simple 'small sample size' issue. Carlos Fisher, someone I really like despite his age, is an extreme ground ball pitcher, getting a ground ball 57.2 % of the time the ball is even in play. On the other end of the spectrum, Travis Wood seems to be more of a fly ball pitcher right now, but I don't put a ton of faith into the type of pitcher (fly ball or ground ball) at such a young age for guys like Travis when they are at lower levels. Anyways, its just interesting as always to look at the numbers a little differently, make yourself think about things a little differently.