Sunday, December 31, 2006

Taking a look at defense

I thought it might be fun to look at's defensive rankings again, and pick out the highest and lowest rated players per position (pitcher, catcher and first baseman aren't calculated). Minimum 350 innings player per position.

Position Best Defender Worst Defender
2B Drew Anderson -14 William Bergolla -42*
SS Ray Olmedo +32 Adam Rosales -36
3B Earl Snyder +36 Aaron Herr -4
RF Cody Strait +46 Brandon Szymanski -29
CF Jay Bruce +42 Chris Denorfia -15
LF Jay Garthwaite +24 Gerardo Cabrera -12

* No longer with the team

The second baseman, organization wide were very below average. At 3B, the organization was quite a bit above average, the worst defender of them all, was just 4 plays below average.

Wednesday, December 27, 2006

Just something to think about for Spring Training

Terry Reynolds, new Director of Player Development

Today the Reds named Terry Reynolds director of player development...Reynolds has been with the organization since January 7, 2004, when he was hired as director of amateur scouting...prior to joining the Reds’ front office he spent 25 years in the Dodgers organization, first in their minor league system and then as their coordinator of minor league scouting/special assignment general manager of the Class A Vero Beach Dodgers, Reynolds was named the Florida State League Executive of the Year 3 times (1980, ’83, ’85), The Sporting News’ Minor League Executive of the Year (’83) and the Florida Diamond Executive of the year (’86)....he served as director of Dodgertown in 1988, assistant director of scouting for the Dodgers from 1989-90, director of domestic, international and professional scouting from 1991-98 and coordinator of winter baseball from 1977 Reynolds graduated from Siena Heights (MI) College with a master’s degree in guidance and 1978 he earned a master’s degree in sports administration from Ohio University.

Monday, December 25, 2006

New Prospects on the horizon?

New prospects on the horizon?

There is a bill currently in legislation that would allow more minor league players from other countries into the United States. Currently, minor league players are not considered "internationally recognized", and therefore they must obtain a H-2B type work visa. There is a limit of 65,000 available in the country, which is a problem. The bill in question will now make minor league players a P-1 type visa holder, as "internationally recognized" athletes. This could and probably will open up the minor league system to a plethora of international prospects from the Dominican and Venezuelan Summer Leagues. The Reds have several guys that could be potential picks to come over next year, including Wirfin Obispo, who Johnny Almaraz has praised in the past. Below is a list of guys I think, if this bill is passed, could see the United States next season.

Wirfin Obispo - RHP - 6'1" - 160 Lbs - 9/26/1984

DSL REDS DSL 4 5 2.04 14 14 79.1 47 28 18 4 18 93 1.46 .168

Carlos Fajardo - LHP - 5'11 - 168 Lbs - 2/21/1985

VSL CIN VSL 2 2 2.54 11 10 49.2 40 16 14 2 6 54 0.88 .225

Oscar Castro - RHP - 6'2" - 165 Lbs - 3/29/1989

VSL CIN VSL 6 2 2.04 14 12 61.2 48 20 14 1 15 30 1.13 .219

Lets hope this bill gets passed and we can bring some of these guys over.

Sunday, December 24, 2006

Merry Christmas

Just wanted to wish everyone a Merry Christmas. Hope all goes well for you and your family.

Thursday, December 21, 2006

Reds trade for Conine, minor leaguers involved

Today the Reds traded for Jeff Conine, Javon Moran and Brad Key were the two players traded. Moran is heading back to the Phillies, where he was originally drafted but came over with Elizardo Ramirez for Cory Lidle. To make room on the 40 man roster for Conine, Brendan Harris was designated for assignment.

Wednesday, December 20, 2006

Baseball Digest Daily Top 50 Prospects; 3 Reds
Joey Votto came in at #40.

Jay Bruce came in at #10.
In the past 5 years, only 21 players have slugged .500 or better in the Midwest league (300+ AB). And only four (4) have done so at age 19 (or younger). And with Bruce's swing, expect many of those 42 doubles to turn into HR's as he gets older. An elite power prospect, and a good fielder in RF. (Rob)
Homer Bailey came in at #4.
Nolan Ryan! Roger Clemens! Homer Bailey? The 6-4 fireballer hasn't shown anything yet that would indicate he isn't going to be the next great pitcher from Texas. The Reds have been showing some caution with him, which is great news, and he's responded by continuing to use his fastball/curve combo to hold high-A and AA hitters to a sub-.200 BAA. And he won't even be 21 until May! (Rob)

Tuesday, December 19, 2006

Reds and Bats extend contracts

The Bats are with the Reds through 2010 now, and Rick Sweet, Adrian Garrett and Ted Power also return as Manager, Hitting and Pitching coach.

Sunday, December 17, 2006

Pitching prospect hit type rates

Like yesterday, the stuff that Jeff Sackmann does at is amazing and I would like to thank him for what he does.

Today I went through and ran the numbers up for the hit type ratios against some of the Reds top pitching prospects, starters only (with the exception of Watson since we aren't really sure what he will end up being).

Player Ground ball % Line Drive % Fly Ball % Pop Up %
Johnny Cueto 45.2 11.9 33 9.7
Homer Bailey 46.8 14 28.3 10.8
Travis Wood 35.2 12.9 39.9 11.8
Sam Lecure 39.9 14.4 33.4 12.2
Carlos Fisher 57.2 12.3 24.7 5.8
Jordan Smith 52.7 15.2 23.6 8.3
Tyler Pelland 41.5 16.5 33 8.9
Sean Watson 43.8 8.8 34.2 13.1

Looking at the numbers there are some interesting things that jump out. Sean Watson only allowed a line drive 8.8 % of the time. He also had the lowest amount of innings as well, so it could be a simple 'small sample size' issue. Carlos Fisher, someone I really like despite his age, is an extreme ground ball pitcher, getting a ground ball 57.2 % of the time the ball is even in play. On the other end of the spectrum, Travis Wood seems to be more of a fly ball pitcher right now, but I don't put a ton of faith into the type of pitcher (fly ball or ground ball) at such a young age for guys like Travis when they are at lower levels. Anyways, its just interesting as always to look at the numbers a little differently, make yourself think about things a little differently.

Saturday, December 16, 2006

Breaking down players hit type rates

First off, I would like to say that Jeff Sackmann of is awesome for what he has done over there.

So I was over on earlier and someone brought up a brought up a question about Cameron Maybin of the Detroit Tigers, and his line drive and fly ball rates being quite low. It is always something I had brought up when attempting to compare prospects and defending Jay Bruce against him.

So I decided to take a look at some Reds prospects line drive/ ground ball/ fly ball/ pop up rates. My theory is, the more line drives you are hitting, the better chance you have to get hits, keep your slugging up, produce more power etc. I think line drive rates are a good thing to look at as far as future production.

Player Ground Ball % Line Drive % Fly Ball % Pop Up %
Jay Bruce 41.9 15.5 36.4 6.1
Joey Votto 39.8 17.7 39.5 3
Javon Moran 56 13.8 24.3 6
Drew Stubbs 54.2 16.2 24.6 5
Chris Valaika 36.8 27.6 32.2 3.2
Paul Janish 47.1 10.5 34.5 7.8
Justin Turner 47.3 21 26.8 4.7
Drew Anderson 41.3 16.1 35 7.4
Chris Dickerson 45.5 11.7 36.7 6
Cody Strait 41.6 14.4 29.3 14.7

The fact that Chris Valaika hit a line drive 27.6 % of the time he hit the ball in play was absolutely mind blowing. Yeah, he was a college player playing in rookie ball, but that is absolutely impressive. Cody Straits pop up % is also pretty out there. He nearly hit twice as many pop ups as anyone else on the list, but still had a strong line drive percentage. Anyways, I just thought it would be something interesting to look at for some of the guys in the system.

Tomorrow, or maybe even later today I think I will break down the same rates for some of our top pitching prospects, starters only.

Thursday, December 14, 2006

Miguel Perez off the 40-man; Johnny Almaraz resigns

Johnny Almaraz has resigned from his position as director of player development/international operations for the Reds. Almaraz had been with the team for 17 years. I am starting to feel less and less comfortable with Wayne Krivsky. Larry Barton Jr walking away is one thing, but followed up a few days later by Almaraz leaving, a guy who has been with the team for 17 years, something starts churning in your head. Maybe its all just a coincident, maybe Wayne just wants his own guys around.... but some of the things Almaraz said would happen are a bit strange to say the least. Almaraz said when he walked into the meeting room at the winter meetings, Krivsky would begin whispering, or sometimes would go to another room to continue the conversation. That is very strange, considering that Almaraz worked for the Reds and had been with the team for so long.

Miguel Perez was non-tendered by the Reds today, removing him from the 40 man roster. He signed back with the team on a minor league contract and has an invitation to spring training.

Tuesday, December 12, 2006

John Sickels top 20 Reds prospects

2007 Cincinnati Reds Prospects

  1. Homer Bailey, RHP, Grade A (one of the top three pitching prospects in baseball)
  2. Jay Bruce, OF, Grade A- (strong tools with developing skills)
  3. Joey Votto, 1B, Grade B+ (breakthrough looks real to me)
  4. Johnny Cueto, RHP, Grade B- (overlooked prospect with a live arm)
  5. Drew Stubbs, OF, B- (outstanding tools but doubts about his bat are legit)
  6. Travis Wood, LHP, B- (loss of velocity this year is not a good marker, but his numbers are good)
  7. Sean Watson, RHP, C+ (results don't seem to match his tools)
  8. Chris Valaika, INF, C+ (hit well in the Pioneer League, but he was a college guy)
  9. Sam LeCure, RHP, C+ (possible fourth/fifth starter type)
  10. Milton Loo, 3B, C+ (another tools guy with a bat but a long way away)
  11. Paul Janish, SS, C (excellent glove, bat prevents him from being a better prospect)
  12. Jon Coutlangus, LHP, C (useful bullpen spare part)
  13. Calvin Medlock, RHP, C (useful bullpen spare part)
  14. Brendan Harris, INF, C (useful infield spare part)
  15. Tyler Pelland, LHP, C (good arm but more thrower than pitcher)
  16. Chris Dickerson, OF, C (useful outfield spare part, good glove)
  17. Brad Salmon, RHP, C (useful bullpen spare part)
  18. David Shafer, RHP, C (useful bullpen spare part)
  19. Daryl Thompson, RHP, C (live arm, recovering from shoulder trouble)
  20. B.J. Szymanski, OF, C (status is slipping quickly due to contact problems)

Others of Note: Jamie Arneson, LHP; Danny Dorn, OF; Phil Dumatrait, LHP; Carlos Fisher, RHP; Jerry Gil, OF-INF; Josh Hamilton, OF; Norris Hopper, OF: Derek Lutz, RHP; Javon Moran, OF; Josh Ravin, RHP; Justin Reed, OF; Jordan Smith, RHP.

The Reds In One Sentence: This system has two future stars in Bailey and Bruce, two very good prospects in Votto and Cueto, then a bunch of questionmarks and spare parts.

Obviously this system is weak right now. The Grade C guys are all interchangeable on the list depending on what you want to emphasize. I know everyone is all gaga over Josh Hamilton being picked in the Rule 5 draft, and he will be in the book, but the guy has so much rust accumulated that I am skeptical about his ability to do much.

Josh Ravin needs to be ranked, 96 MPH FB and 2 other commandable pitches. Javon Moran has done nothing bit hit .330 since he got to the Reds, to have BJ Szymanski rated over him is an absolute joke.

Where was Joey Votto in Milb.coms top 60?

Where was Joey Votto in the top 60 prospects? I am sure you asked the question, I know I did. So I decided to go to the source. Today Jonathon Mayo was on Around the Minors like he is every Tuesday and I sent him an email asking just that, where was Joey Votto? It was one of the first questions that he addressed, because apparently I was not the only one wondering what had happened. His answer was simple, and I am now paraphrasing, 'I think a lot of people would like to see him duplicate his 2006. His 2005 was not so good and seeing him duplicate his 2006 would be good in some peoples eyes.'

Well, since it was just an email I couldn't respond back to Mayo. Here is what I would have said if it were the case.

Maybe you know, maybe you don't, but in 2005 the Reds made Joey take the first pitch of nearly every at bat. When pitchers know this, you are going to start off the at bat down 0-1 nearly every at bat. When you are down 0-1, good luck getting a pitch to drive and put a good swing on. But if you want replication of 2006, take a peak back at 2004. Votto had no restrictions on his plate approach and look at what he did.

2004 Dayton 20 A 391 60 118 26 2 14 72 9 79 110 .302 .419 .486 905
Potomac 20 A+ 84 11 25 7 0 5 20 1 11 21 .298 .385 .560 945
Totals 475 71 143 33 2 19 92 10 90 131 .301 .413 .499 .912

Now compared with his 2006 season, was 2005 or 2006 the out of the ordinary year?

Monday, December 11, 2006

Reds mailbag hits on Homer Bailey and Josh Hamilton

Could the Reds use Homer Bailey as a closer for a year -- similar to Jonathan Papelbon in Boston last year -- then put him in the rotation in 2008?
-- Jeff R., Dayton, Ohio

The Reds have made it pretty clear that if Bailey comes up next season, it would be as a starter. It's what he's always done, and it's not as though closing games is a walk in the park compared with starting. The ninth inning is big-time pressure for a younger player. Papelbon performed well in that role, but he is also five years older than Bailey.

Keep this in mind, too: Papelbon missed the last month of the season with a sore shoulder and wants to be in the rotation. I'd stick with the current program for Bailey if I had a say in his development -- which, clearly, I do not. I'm not a Major League GM, nor do I play one on TV.

Speaking of Bailey, it came as no surprise that his name was brought up during daily sessions with general manager Wayne Krivsky and manager Jerry Narron. The top prospect is going to get a shot at competing for the fifth starter's spot during Spring Training, but that shot is viewed a long one.

"Unless something really unforeseen happens, he'd start the year in Triple-A," Narron said.

Two questions: Did the Reds lose anyone in the Rule 5 Draft? Does Josh Hamilton have a chance to be a starter this year? Or is he more of a David Ross/Brandon Phillips type, where they took a shot and hope he works out?
-- Chris E., St. Bernard, Ohio

Answering the second question first, the Reds' scouting reports had enough information that they felt confident acquiring Phillips and Ross would pay dividends. Most scouting reports on Hamilton are more than four years old or older, but when he was drafted No. 1 overall by the Devil Rays, he reportedly had a left-handed power stroke that could have made him a superstar by now. But because of his personal issues, he's only played 15 games in Class A over the past four years. Now 25, he's missed important developmental years and will need to catch up. Starting in the outfield this season is not a realistic expectation.

Basically, the Reds took a $50,000 gamble, plus some extra cash to the Cubs, that Hamilton might show them something. They can get $25,000 back if he doesn't. Many Major League Rule 5 picks are returned to their old clubs.

In addition, the Reds did not lose a player in the Rule 5 Draft.

Friday, December 08, 2006

Homer Bailey and Jay Bruce crack into top 10 Prospect list

Jay Bruce came in today at #8 overall. Here is what they had to say about him:

2006 stats: [A] .291 BA/ .355 OBP/ .516 SLG
2006 Club: Dayton ETA in Majors: 2009 2006 Pre-season Rank: NR
It's hard not to like the numbers Bruce put up in his first full season. Then think about how quickly the 42 doubles will turn into homers and Reds fans really have something to be excited about.

Homer Bailey came in at #3 overall. What they said about him is below.

2006 stats: 10-6, 2.47 ERA, 138.2 IP, 99 H, 50 BB, 156 K
2006 Club: Sarasota/Chattanooga ETA in Majors: 2007 2006 Pre-season Rank: 32
The top pitcher on the list really took off in 2006, especially after a promotion to Double-A. The Reds did well not to push him to the bigs too soon, but he should get there at some point next season.

Joey Votto did not make the top 60, and truthfully, I have no idea why.

By the way, Monday I made my prediction for what I thought their top 10 would be....and I only missed 1 guy, Yovanni Gallardo. Not shabby.

You can view the entire list by going to

Thursday, December 07, 2006 article on Josh Hamilton

Reds acquire former top pick Hamilton
Troubled outfielder gets another shot at Majors via Rule 5
By Mark Sheldon /

LAKE BUENA VISTA, Fla. -- After he's endured an extremely long career detour from baseball caused by drugs, alcohol and injuries, can former overall No. 1 pick Josh Hamilton ever reach his potential?

The Reds decided it was worth the risk to find out.

The usually mundane proceedings of Thursday's Rule 5 Draft at the Winter Meetings took an interesting turn when the Cubs selected Hamilton from Tampa Bay with the third pick of the day. Chicago turned around and dealt the 25-year-old outfielder to the Reds for cash considerations.

Under the Rule 5 provisions, Hamilton must stay on Cincinnati's 25-man Major League roster for the entire season, or be offered back to Tampa Bay for $25,000.

The Reds, who had the 15th pick on Thursday, had a pre-arranged deal with the Cubs to get Hamilton. In an interesting side note, Reds manager Jerry Narron met him when Hamilton was a teenager. Narron's brother, Johnny, coached Hamilton on a North Carolina amateur baseball team.

"We're real pleased to have him," Reds general manager Wayne Krivsky said. "I'm looking forward to seeing him in Spring Training. We did a lot of work on this and decided to move up in the draft in case somebody else was thinking about the same thing."

Hamilton, who was earning some extra money cutting trees near his North Carolina home when he got word of the deal, was stunned by the news.

"There are really no words to describe it, because I wasn't expecting this," Hamilton said. "It took me by total surprise. It's a chance to start over with a fresh start. I'm looking forward to it."

In June 1999, the Devil Rays made Hamilton the No. 1 overall pick of the draft out of Athens Drive High School in North Carolina. His numerous tools, especially his pure left-handed hitting power, made him the obvious choice, and he was projected to have a big-time Major League career.

Since then, just about everything has gone wrong.

While still climbing his way up the Minors, a 2001 car accident with his parents left Hamilton with an injured back and kept him out for an extended period. That was around the time he became addicted to cocaine and alcohol and frequented tattoo shops on a regular basis. By July 10, 2002, he was suspended after violating Major League Baseball's substance-abuse policies.

The layoff would last four years while Hamilton was on the restricted list and unable to clean up his life.

This season, Hamilton was allowed to participate in Tampa Bay's extended Spring Training. He was cleared to play in the summer and returned with Class A Hudson Valley on July 4.

Clearly, there is risk involved for the Reds in acquiring Hamilton. Krivsky said ownership gave its approval before he moved forward.

"You do as much background work as you can and you make a decision," Krivsky said. "There's risk in everything you do. I'm not sure there's ever been an [overall No. 1] pick taken in the Rule 5. We feel it's worth the gamble. We like his upside still. He's still relatively young at 25. We're excited to have him and excited to see what he looks like in Spring Training."

In 15 games with Hudson Valley, Hamilton batted .260 with no homers and five RBIs. He is also coming off arthroscopic surgery on his left knee, and is expected to fully recover.

Hamilton also has taken steps to get his life back in order again. He is married with two daughters, whom he has credited for helping him stay clean. Although admitting he was nervous about changing teams, the idea of finally reaching the Majors had him optimistic.

"You can't describe it. It's a dream come true," Hamilton said. "From where I've been the last three or four years, for this to happen and that people have confidence in me for where I'm going now and how I'm living my life ... Baseball is something I do and have been good at in the past. I'm fortunate somebody still has faith in me.

"Baseball has never been the problem. I've always known I had the ability to do it, and it's something I love doing. I've been practicing and working hard while I've been at home. I'm feeling good. I guarantee I'll come in the best shape I've been in since I've been playing. I'm just excited about it. I'll just go out there and play the best I can."

Hamilton will try to make the Reds as a reserve corner outfielder. He will be competing with Bubba Crosby, Chris Denorfia, Norris Hopper and others.

Can Hamilton regain the power and sweet swing that scouts and clubs drooled over seven years ago?

"There are certain obstacles, obviously," Krivsky said. "We wouldn't have taken him if we didn't think he could overcome them. The upside is still there at his age. It'll be up to us to get him as many at-bats as we can get for him this year, assuming he stays with us."

With their own Rule 5 pick, the Reds also selected pitcher Jared Burton from the Athletics. Burton, a right-hander, was 6-5 with a 4.14 ERA in 53 relief appearances. He has a 93-94 mph fastball, according to Reds' scouting reports. Like Hamilton, Burton must remain on the Reds' 25-man roster all season or be sent back to his old club.

"We think he has a chance to be a pretty good setup guy," Reds professional scouting director J. Harrison said. "He's basically got a 30-day audition. The good thing about Spring Training is we'll get a good chance to see him compete in a few games and we'll run him out there."

Rule 5 Draft rundown. Reds get former #1 Pick

Well, today was the Rule 5 Draft. The Reds made a few selections and got another player via a trade.

With the 3rd overall pick in the major league phase, the Chicago Cubs made the biggest splash taking former #1 overall pick (1999) Josh Hamilton of the Devil Rays. However, that wasn't exactly what it seemed to be. Turns out, our Cincinnati Reds traded for Josh Hamilton for cash. If you don't know the history with Josh Hamilton, here is a brief summary.

Former #1 draft pick overall. Has dealt with drug and alcohol addiction from 2002-2006. Was suspended by MLB for 2 years for drug use. Reinstated last season and went 13-50 in short season ball after not playing for nearly 4 years.

Here is the complete round up of the Reds moves today in the Rule 5 Draft

Major League Phase

Josh Hamilton (drafted by Cubs, traded to Reds for cash) OF

1999 Princeton 18 Rk 236 49 82 20 4 10 48 17 13 43 .347 .378 .593

Hudson Vly 18 A- 72 7 14 3 0 0 7 1 1 14 .194 .213 .236
2000 Charlst-sc 19 A 391 62 118 23 3 13 61 14 27 71 .302 .348 .476
2001 Charlst-sc 20 A 11 3 4 1 0 1 2 0 2 3 .364 .462 .727

Orlando 20 AA 89 5 16 5 0 0 4 2 5 22 .180 .221 .236
2002 Bkrsfld 21 A+ 211 32 64 14 1 9 44 10 20 46 .303 .359 .507
2006 Hudson Vly 25 A- 50 7 13 3 1 0 5 0 5 11 .260 .327 .360
Milb Totals 1060 165 311 69 9 33 171 44 73 210 .293 .338 .469

Jared Burton (1st Round, 15th overall) RHP

Year Team Lg Age Level W L ERA G SV IP H R ER HR BB SO WHIP
2002 Vancouver Nwest 21 A- 0 4 3.58 13 1 37.2 32 22 15 0 14 38 1.22
2003 Kane Cty Midw 22 A 2 1 2.27 15 1 31.2 19 9 8 2 7 33 0.82
2004 Az As Ariz 23 Rk 1 0 4.15 5 0 21.2 21 12 10 2 4 15 1.15

Modesto Calif 23 A+ 3 2 4.78 10 0 32.0 34 19 17 6 20 25 1.69
2005 Stockton Calif 24 A+ 4 4 2.60 52 24 55.1 44 21 16 2 20 67 1.16
2006 Midland Tex 25 AA 6 5 4.14 53 1 74.0 71 36 34 7 27 66 1.32
Milb Totals 16 16 3.57 148 27 252.1 221 119 100 19 92 244 1.24

Taken in the AAA phase of the draft

Francisco Mateo LHP

Year Team Lg Age Level W L ERA G GS IP H R ER HR BB SO WHIP
2005 Pulaski App 21 Rk 1 7 5.14 12 12 56.0 72 41 32 9 21 38 1.66
2006 Pulaski App 22 Rk 5 2 4.18 14 14 64.2 66 38 30 4 21 59 1.35
Milb Totals 6 9 4.64 26 26 120.2 138 79 62 13 42 97 1.50

Taken in the AA phase of the draft

Nick Moran RHP

Year Team Lg Age Level W L ERA G GS IP H R ER HR BB SO WHIP
2001 Mahoning V NYPL 21 A- 5 2 3.40 15 15 79.1 82 36 30 6 13 66 1.20
2002 Kinston Caro 22 A+ 2 3 4.73 9 9 51.1 51 33 27 5 17 46 1.32
2003 Kinston Caro 23 A+ 4 0 3.55 6 6 33.0 32 14 13 4 7 20 1.18
2005 SW Mich Midw 25 A 0 2 11.42 3 1 8.2 14 12 11 1 4 8 2.08
2006 Visalia Calif 26 A+ 2 1 5.51 21 0 49.0 56 35 30 1 20 48 1.55
Milb Totals 19 12 4.45 69 46 305.2 318 177 151 26 85 254 1.32

For more on Josh Hamilton, Baseball America has quotes from him thanks to a conference call he had. Click here to see it, it is at the very bottom of the page.

Wednesday, December 06, 2006

Donnie Scott returns as Dayton Dragons Manager

Former Dragons Manager (2001-2003) will return to manage the Dragons again next season.
He took the Dragons to the playoffs his first two seasons as a manager. to read a full article about it.

Monday, December 04, 2006

Early look at the Reds 2007 draft positioning

As of right now, the Reds will have the 15th overall pick, 36th overall (from SF for Rich Aurilia) and 62nd in the second round (for Rich Aurilia from SF). We also will have our regular15th of the round spot in the 3rd round.
Our compensation can change depending on a bunch of things, but currently that is where we sit. If Scott Schoeneweis signs with someone else, we will get additional draft picks for him as well.

Sunday, December 03, 2006 Top 50 prospect Preview

Friday will be having its Top 50 Prospect show online. They do 2 rankings each year, pre-season and then after the season. The pre-season list only had 1 Reds prospect on it....Homer Bailey. Homer came in at #32. After the season some guys put up, I would imagine that there will be 3 Reds in the top 50. Joey Votto somewhere between 35-50, Homer Bailey and Jay Bruce will both be between 5 and 15. I think I am going to take this time to put up a guess at what I think their rankings will look like come Friday for the top 10.
1. Alex Gordon - Kansas City 3B
2. Delmon Young - Tampa Bay OF
3. Brandon Wood - LAA SS
4. Philip Hughes - New York SP
5. Homer Bailey - Cincinnati SP
6. Troy Tulowitzki - Colorado SS
7. Cameron Maybin - Detroit OF
8. Matt Garza - Minnesota SP
9. Jay Bruce - Cincinnati SP
10. Justin Upton - Arizona OF

Now a few things about that.
1. That is not my top 10 list, its what I think theirs will be.
2. That is guessing that Daisuke Matsuzaka is not considered eligible for the list and Matt Garza is. If Garza is not, bump him off, move Bruce and Upton up one slot each and Billy Butler becomes #10.
3. I personally cant wait to see what their list is.

Friday, December 01, 2006

Homer Bailey #2 Pitching prospect in baseball

2. Homer Bailey, CIN: Bailey, 20, has a competitive spirit and the kind of arm that makes hitters look like they are swinging palm trees through peanut butter. He dominated both High-A (10.06 K/9, 1.00 WHIP) and Double-A (10.19, 1.15) hitters last season with his 97 MPH fastball and improving changeup.

A 6-foot-4, 205-pound righty, Bailey only ranks lower than Hughes for us because he has fewer Double-A innings and he walks more batters. But like Hughes, Bailey has a very good chance of getting starts in the major leagues next season and he will make an immediate impact.

As a side note, Bailey has topped out at 98MPH on the gun, but hey, it happens. I disagree with the Bailey behind Hughes ranking, but thats alright. Check out the entire list at